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    Volume 3 Issue 7-8, July-August 2001

    Russia-China sign potentially dangerous treaty
    © 2001 Discerning the Times Digest and NewsBytes
    Nearly two years after they threatened the US with a Military Cooperation Treaty, Russia and China signed the "Economic Cooperation and Friendship Treaty" with little fanfare. The mainstream media generally reported the treaty to be benign. Not so claimed former Soviet defector Col. Stanislav Lunev. He warned in the July 18 NewsMax that even though the treaty claims "The military and military-technical cooperation between the two countries … is not directed against third countries," Taiwan is not considered a third country to the Chinese. It considers Taiwan a rogue province that must eventually be brought back into the fold. Hence, the non-aggression statement of the treaty does not apply to Taiwan. Furthermore, why should we trust the Chinese, when they have consistently lied to the world before.

    According to Drs Alexandr Nemets and Thomas Torda in the July 19 NewsMax, the treaty "will have grave consequences for prospects of war and peace around Taiwan and, probably, in all of East Asia – if not the entire world." Nemets is a consultant for Science Applications International Corp., and a consultant to the American Foreign Policy Council. Torda has been a Chinese linguist specializing in science and technology with FBIS, and a Chinese/Russian defense technology consultant with the Office of Naval Intelligence. They claim that the Russian agreement to protect China with its Pacific Fleet if and when China attacks Taiwan is not only still in force, but is now formalized with the signing of the treaty. Joint military operations between the two nations have sharply increased over the past six months.

    According to early data, claim Nemets and Torda, the volume of Russian weapons technology deliveries has doubled over the same period as 2000. Now that the Friendship and Cooperation Treaty has been signed, they expect the volume of Russian sales of advanced technology to sharply increase again. "No illusions should remain here: After signing of the treaty, the entire Russian defense industry will be at the unlimited disposal of the PLA," claim Nemets and Torda. Add this to the metamorphosis of the Shanghai Five alliance into the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) with the admission of Uzbekistan into the group, plus the new reuniting of Belarus and soon Ukraine with Russia and a very powerful Asian axis is emerging.

    With this as background, China analyst Bill Gertz reports in Geostrategy-Direct that China is preparing to conduct a flight test of its short-range CCS-6 (also called the M-9 or the DF-15) ballistic missile. The CCS-6 and the CCS-7 intermediate range ballistic missile make up most of the 300 missiles that are staged along the Taiwan Strait. "The testing is believed to part of efforts by China to upgrade the guidance of its short-range missiles," claims Gertz. DTT has long been concerned that China intends to use this highly advanced technology, given to them courtesy of Bill Clinton, to surgically strike Taiwanese military installations above and below ground  with neutron or low-yield EMP nuclear bombs within minutes, leaving the civilian infrastructure untouched. 

    Alarmed, Taiwan President Chen Shui-bian compared China's missile buildup along the Taiwan Strait to the Kennedy era Cuban missile crisis, according to the July 16 Washington Times. "I believe that peace in the Taiwan Strait is key to the overall stability of the Asia Pacific region. So maintaining peace in the Taiwan Strait and avoiding a PRC threat against Taiwan is something that the U.S., Japan and Taiwan must jointly deal with in a manner of division responsibilities and cooperation," said Chen. He then strongly hinted that Taiwan would like to take part or invest in the development of a theater missile defense system being developed by the US and Japan. The US quickly responded to Chen's veiled request by indicating America would be open to such a joint proposal, according to the July 20 Scotsman

    The saying, "the more things change, the more they remain the same" applies to Russia and China. Nothing really has changed. America is still at risk.  V mc