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    April, 2001      Volume 3, Issue 4

    Arab nations split:  War begins?
    © 2000 Discerning the Times Digest and NewsBytes
    An Israeli tank shell explodes in a buidling in Bethlehem in sustained fighting in the Hebron- Bethlehem area during the first week of April. Israel has launched a preemptive war against the Palestinians after learning of a Palestine-Syria-Iraq alliance to drive the Jews out of Israel.

    Events are taking the inevitable turn to war in the Mideast predicted by Discerning the Times Digest since June of last year. The Arab League Summit on March 27-28 has shown the Arab nations to be deeply divided as Iraq, Syria, Lebanon's Hizbollah, and the Palestinians form an alliance to drive Israel into the sea while Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Jordan and Egypt insist on taking a more moderate road. Israel, under the direction of the hawkish prime minister Sharon, acknowledges that war is inevitable, and with Washington's approval has launched what it says is a planned series of attacks on Yasser Arafat's Palestine Authority to preempt coordination efforts between the Palestinians and the rest of the Arab alliance.

    Arab nations split

    The Arab League summit ended in disarray and division on March 28, but not before President Assad of Syria called Israelis "Nazis" and Saddam Hussein called for the Arab nations to liberate the Palestine territories. “It is the Israeli public and not just the leaders who are like the Nazis themselves,” Assad said in an improvised speech at the summit. Assad was trying to make a comparison to today's alleged repression of Israel of the Palestinians to Hitler's holocaust during World War II. The extremely inflammatory words could have been spoken by Assad's father 20 years ago according to the London Times on March 28. At the same time, Saddam told Arab leaders to build "an army of men as concerned to sacrifice themselves as the Zionists are concerned for their lives. We do not agree to any deals on Palestine, all of Palestine from the Jordan (river) to the Mediterranean, including Jerusalem, its crown."

    The drumbeat for war by Assad and Saddam signify a sharp division between Iraq and Syria, and Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Egypt. Jordan does not want war, but is caught in the middle. Before the meeting ended, however, According to the March 30 DEBKAfile, Arafat quietly met with the Iraqi vice president Izzat Ibrahim and deputy prime minister Tariq Azziz, and the Syrian president Bashar Assad to apply the finishing touches to plans for a joint offensive against Israel. The Hizbollah has a role too, while Iran pledged financial and logistic backing. The new Palestinian axis with Iraq and Syria also includes increased cooperation with Iran, the March 29 World Tribune sources said. In turn, WorldNetDaily reported on March 29 that Iran has just completed a $7 billion arms deal with Russia in spite of Washington's threat to cut off aid to Russia if they went through with the agreement. For the first time since the Palestinian Authority was established in 1994, Arafat has given the Iranian-sponsored Islamic Jihad a free hand to strike Israeli targets.

    War begins

    Such a coordination effort was apparent in the near attack on Israel by Iraq on February 22, when Saddam came within minutes of launching missiles at Israel and moving six divisions of his elite Republican Guard across Syria, with Syria's permission, to drive Israel into the sea. Upon learning of the side-room planning between Arafat, Assad and the Iraqi representative at the Arab summit, Israel launched a planned massive helicopter strike against Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat's elite Force 17 bodyguard units on March 28 in Ramallah and the Gaza Strip according to NewsMax on March 29. By April 1 heavy fighting broke out in the Bethlehem area that continued all week. The intense Bethlehem confrontation is the closest to a full-scale battle of any clash in the current conflict according to the April 4 DEBKAfile. On April 4 the Palestinians launched a mortar attack from the Gaza strip into bordering Israeli villages. The same day Israeli helicopter gunships and naval gunboats attacking targets in the Gaza Strip. The April 4 DEBKAfile reported Israel deployed for the first time infantry units who fired long-range anti-tank missiles against against Force 17 and Palestinian General Intelligence commands and bases in Gaza.

    And so, it appears, the war begins.

    The Israeli internal security minister, Uzi Landau, said Israel should hit Palestinian targets "every day, hour after hour". He described the Palestinian leader, Yasser Arafat, as a war criminal. He told Israel radio: "The price we will exact from the Palestinian Authority will become intolerable." Following attacks on April 5, the April 6 London Independent reported Raanan Gissin, a top aide to Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon as saying "Israel will retaliate 'relentlessly' from now on and Palestinian security installations will be considered targets as long as security forces fail to prevent attacks on Israelis."

    Amid the growing violence, Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak fired a stern warning to Arafat not to form an alliance with Iraq and Syria according to the March 29 World Tribune. The Tribune sources said Mubarak's messages warn Arafat that such an alliance would cost the Palestinians both political and financial (about $900 million) support and lead the region into war. Since August, cooperation between Arafat and Mubarak has been reduced to a mere formality. The World Tribune reported its sources said Mubarak privately blamed Arafat for the widespread protests throughout Egypt in support of the Palestinians and against the regime in Cairo. But that seems to be exactly what Arafat wants.

    In the meantime, there is evidence that Israel is planning a major attack on Iranian missile bases controlled by the Hizbollah in southern Lebanon. Before returning home from his March 20 meeting with Bush and other top administration officials, Sharon told the Wall Street Journal that the Hizbollah had positioned Iranian El Fajr (Pager) surface missiles with a range of 120km in southern Lebanon. After a frank discussion between president George W. Bush and Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon on March 20, Israel may attack the Hizbollah in southern Lebanon sometime very soon, according to intelligence provided by the March 24 DEBKAfile. "The IDF has begun assembling forces on its northern frontier – according to military sources, in readiness for a large-scale exercise. The same sources report that the Syrian army, Hizbollah units and the Lebanese army have been placed on alert," reports The DEBKAfile. According to the March 25 WorldNetDaily, Syria has 35,000 troops in Lebanon and controls Lebanon's political and military decisions.

    The missiles are capable of striking at points in heavily populated central Israel. Earlier, Bush gave Sharon the green light to "strike at the core of the blossoming radical Middle East bloc linking Baghdad, Gaza, Tehran, the Hizbollah and possibly Damascus, before it ripens," reported DEBKAfile. "A comprehensive Israeli offensive directed simultaneously against the Iranian force commanding the missile strength in Lebanon, the Hizbollah and the Syrian arms supply routes from Damascus airport, at the same time taking out Palestinian bases, would all fall within the province of the understandings Sharon reached with President Bush last Tuesday in the White House," said the DEBKAfile.

    DEBKAfile also believes that President Bush's March 29 stern warning to Arafat to stop the violence following the summit was going to be his last. “I can’t make it any more clear,” said Bush. “I hope Chairman Arafat hears it loud and clear, and that’s the message he’s going to hear on the telephone today." The phone call was made by Secretary of State Colin Powell who issued what DEBKAfile ’s Washington sources describe as “America’s last warning.” Powell is reported to have left no doubt that the US would hold Arafat solely responsible for the outbreak of a regional war in the Middle East, and demanded that the Palestinian leader back off, abandon his war plans and tell his people in their own language to halt the terrorism. The Bush administration did not say what the US would do if Arafat started the war with Syria and Iraq. The State Department also took direct aim at Iran's support for the Lebanon's Hizbollah and Yasser Arafat by warning Iran to back off from their involvement in international terrorism. The Iranian missiles came from technology sold to Iran by Russia, which, in turn, is part of a larger plan by Russia and China to form alliances with the EU (minus Britain), Japan and all of southern Asia and the Mideast to isolate the US and break its unipolar dominance over the world. Towards this effort, Russia and Iran are working on an arms deal that will supply Iran with about $300 million in arms annually.

    Are you ready?

    Step by step the Mideast is inching towards a confrontation that has every appearance of being the trigger for setting in motion the last days prophesied by the prophets of the old and new testaments. World government and religion are within a few years of being a reality, if not a few months. Even though it will not be the war of Gog and Magog described in Ezekiel 38 and 39, it is now highly probable that war, probably using weapons of mass destruction, will erupt in the Mideast, forcing the international community to impose a forced peace settlement in Israel. Never has any generation lived so close to witnessing the greatest event in earth's history--the return of Jesus Christ to defeat, with finality, the great deceiver known as Satan.

    Yet, the Christian Church is every bit asleep today as the Jews were in the days Christ walked the earth as the suffering Messiah. Jesus warned us in Matthew 24:42 and 44 to ‘‘keep watch, because you do not know on what day your Lord will come.... So you also must be ready, because the Son of Man will come at an hour when you do not expect him." So many who call themselves Christians say they love Christ but are totally absorbed in the affairs of life. Jesus warned in Luke 21:34 that each person must ‘‘be careful, or your hearts will be weighed down with dissipation, drunkenness and the anxieties (affairs) of life, and that day will close on you unexpectedly like a trap." Don't be caught in that trap. V mc  TOP