© 2000 Discerning the
Times Digest and NewsBytes
Russian President Vladimir Putin has
stumbled for the first time since taking office as president of Russia.
And, according to most accounts he stumbled badly. While making dashing
and brilliant moves in the southern republics, in the oil tensions with
the West, and on economic recovery, Putin blew it when it came to seeing
the priority of the sinking and then allowing his commanders to cover up
the seriousness of what had happened by trying to blame it on a collision
with another sub. But did he really blow it, or was he caught between two
critically important matters?
Putin was busy re-creating the Soviet
Union
So why did it take so long for Putin to
respond? He happened to be quietly chairing the Commonwealth of
Independent Nations (CIS) meeting, according to WorldNetDaily (WND) on
August 22. "Russian President Vladimir Putin -- the acknowledged
leader of the CIS -- was forced to attend to the increasingly dire news
regarding the sunken Russian submarine, the Kursk", according to WND.
According to the WND account, this was no business as usual meeting.
The meeting was designed to develop a
strategy to carve out a power position in the September 6 UN Millennium
Forum. This was a major meeting that would define Russia’s future for a
long time. It was enormous news and yet received no press coverage. As
tragic as the sinking of the Kursk was, the long-term implications of the
CIS meeting were far more important than the sinking of the Kursk. Yet,
the press was completely mesmerized by the Kursk. Although the military
brass initially reverted to their Soviet style stonewalling, denial, and
passing the buck, once Putin put his full attention to the disaster, the
stonewalling stopped (mostly) and the military actually asked for foreign
assistance. Putin certainly did not stumble as badly as he has been
accused.
The deadly mission of the Kursk
Nonetheless, the sinking of the Kursk
does have important ramifications. The Kursk was just one of 6 Oscar II
missile submarines. And it was lethal. It carries 24 of her main killer,
the Chelomey Granit missile, NATO code-named SS-N-19 Shipwreck. The
missiles are stored on each side of the huge submarine in banks of 12,
hidden between the layers of the boat's thick twin hull skin. The
Shipwreck missiles are stored in launching tubes external to the inner
pressure hull where the 118 crew members worked and lived. The Shipwreck
is intended to strike U.S. carriers but can also be targeted against U.S.
cities. Russian naval sources indicate that the Shipwreck missile can be
armed with an H-bomb warhead equal to one half million tons of TNT, more
than enough to flatten Los Angeles or New York City.
That fateful morning the Kursk
reportedly completed a successful firing of the Shipwreck missile. In the
dim afternoon light of the arctic summer sun, the Kursk began her last
performance, the simulated destruction of a U.S. submarine using the
100-RU Veder missile. The Veder, NATO code-named SS-N-16A Stallion, is a
rocket-boosted torpedo. The Stallion is launched from the huge 26-inch
diameter torpedo tubes installed on each Oscar II class submarine. The
mini-torpedo then uses its own little parachute, slowing to drop gently
into the water directly above the target. The mini-torpedo then homes in
on the target submarine for the final kill. Pictures of the damage suggest
the Veder (Stallion) missile malfunctioned blowing a hole clear along the
port side of the sub from the torpedo ports to the conning tower.
But how did it happen? There were
reports that there were civilians on board helping the crew with the top
secret Veder missile tests. One theory goes that these civilians somehow
messed up. But another interesting possibility came out on Wednesday,
August 23. Chechen rebels claimed they sabotaged the Kursk. The report was
carried by many newspapers and for several days. The Chechens provided
details of how it was done, which could be true. But what is most
interesting is that the rebels claimed their responsibility in the sinking
of this sub while they denied responsibility in the apartment bombings
last fall that led to the attack by Russia on Chechnya. For more
information see the analysis in the August issue of DTT Digest.
Russia’s future more important than
the Kursk
Perhaps one of the most stunning results
from the August 18 CIS meeting in Yalta, Ukraine is the bold proclamation
in the joint statement that "Regional and sub-regional integration is
all-important ... because it helps tackle social and economic
problems." The meeting shows a clear direction of reforming the old
Soviet republics back into a close political union with Russia. If there
is any doubt remaining, the CIS said that the unity confirms, according to
WND, "Moscow's recent boast that Western attempts, especially by
NATO, to lessen Russia's hold on the nations of the CIS have failed....
The Central Asian republics are joining with Moscow in a common power grid
that will stretch from Europe far into Asia. The Caucasus republics of
Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia are also joining in a common power grid
with Russia."
There had been growing evidence that
Ukraine and the Central Asian republics east of the Caspian Sea were
reuniting with Russia. However, this is the first time that Azerbaijan and
Georgia are mentioned as joining with Russia. Azerbaijan and Georgia have
been holdouts, even seeming to make advances towards NATO protection from
Russia. Georgia insulted Russia by allowing NATO officials to review a
Russian air base for a possible NATO base just a few days after Russia had
pulled out its troops from the base.
If Russia has convinced or coerced Azerbaijan and
Georgia into the Russian camp, it will be a real coo. The August DTT
Digest details the major East-West intrigue and tensions over these two
republics as the West attempts to build an oil-pipeline from the Caspian
Sea, across Azerbaijan, Georgia and Turkey to the Mediterranean Sea. By
building the pipeline, the West would be stealing what Russia believes to
be her oil, condemning Russia to a poor country cousin in the emerging
world government and denying it forevermore of achieving the greatness it
once had under Soviet rule. If Russia has secured Azerbaijan and Georgia,
it will indeed have a powerful hand to play in the September 6-8
Millennium Summit. V mc