Global Power Plays Redefining Geopolitical Landscape

During the months of December through mid-February, Russia and China have dramatically changed the geopolitical power balance of the world. As discussed in the November issue of Discerning the Times Digest, both are confronting the realization that world government is just around the corner, and they have to act now to carve out their niche in the New World Order. In the process, both have fully mobilized for war. But why?

For the past several years Russia has watched the Clinton Administration, Britain’s Prime Minister Tony Blair and other European Union (EU) leaders use globalization to systematically strip Russia of its economic future. The worst of these offenses has been the West’s negotiations with the former Soviet Republics of Azerbaijan and Georgia, along with Turkey, Bulgaria, Kosovo and Albania to build a pipeline network to provide oil to Europe. Currently Russia provides this oil through a pipeline north of the Caucasus Mountains. Once built, the southern Caucasus/Balkan pipeline would deny Russia of over half its annual export revenues.

The loss of this oil would relegate Russia to a poor cousin in the emerging world order. The only way Russia can stop the West and secure these oil riches for herself is to take back their former Republics of Georgia and Azerbaijan before global governance is implemented later this year and next.

There is a problem, however. Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, Azerbaijan and Georgia had allied themselves with the U.S. and NATO. If Russia was going to take back these southern Caucasus republics, she would have to complete the conquest before the West could respond. But, how could it mobilize its military without alerting the West?

There is compelling evidence that it was the Kremlin, not the Chechen rebels, who were responsible for the apartment bombings in Russia last summer. By responding to this "Chechen terrorism," Russia rallied popular support behind the Kremlin and put Putin in charge of Russia. More importantly, it provided an excuse for Russia to fully mobilize its military in the Chechnya area without drawing attention of the West.

China’s situation is different. Reabsorbing Taiwan is China’s number one priority. President Jaing realizes China must get Taiwan back before global governance is fully implemented, or China will lose Taiwan forever. To position China in the New World Order, Jaing believes it also has to gain control of the South China Sea, the Spratly Islands (located between China and the Philippines), and perhaps even the Philippines and Japan.

For both nations to succeed in their respective goals, however, they have to confront the military superiority of the U.S. This led to a Summit between President’s Yeltsin and Jaing on December 9-10th last year to develop a strategy to overcome U.S. hegemony in the world. The Summit resulted in a new secret Russia-China military treaty that was signed by Putin and Jaing in January, 2000.

Although this new Russian-Chinese axis represents a serious threat to the U.S., it will be five years before it is strong enough to take the U.S. head on. Five years is too long. Yeltsin and Jaing put their strategy into play immediately. On December 9, 1999 they issued a joint statement. Printed in the December 9, 1999 Drudge Report, the two leaders attacked the illegal bombing of Kosovo and reiterated their ten month-long attack on U.S. "unipolar" dominance of the world. They again demanded that a "multipolar" world be created with Russia and China sharing equal power with the U.S. and Europe.

Yeltsin and Jaing then made a series of declarations that have enormous geopolitical ramifications. They declared that a "rational and thoughtful reform of the UN" which "is conductive to strengthening its authority and role in the world" would be supported by Russia and China. Such UN reforms would "create a fair, equal, and mutually beneficial international political and economic order," they concluded.

Prior to this statement, Russia and China had opposed the creation of UN-based global governance. Russia and China suddenly supported restructuring the UN to administer global governance. This support would give a big boost to defining the new UN structure at the UN Millennium Summit starting on September 6th this year when all the heads of state in the world meet in New York.

But, the Yeltsin-Jaing offer is conditional. The two leaders demand that all nations "respect each other’s sovereignty," and "not interfere in each others internal affairs." They emphasize that this principle must apply to "China’s reunification efforts [with] Taiwan" and that the "Chechnya issue is purely the internal affair of Russia." In other words, Russia and China will join the West’s march to world government, if Clinton and the West permit them to have total sovereignty over their respective spheres of influence.

Yeltsin and Jaing appear to be dead serious about their offer. The very same day, Yeltsin emphasized how serious by warning Clinton "that Russia has at its disposal a full nuclear arsenal." When Clinton jokingly responded, "We can’t get too serious about that," Yeltsin put Russia’s nuclear missiles on its highest, ready-to-launch, alert on December 13th.

In a rapidly degenerating global crises, then Prime Minister Vladimir Putin brought the world to the brink of nuclear war the following day. He fired a warning shot across America’s bow by launching an unscheduled test of Russia’s state of the art Topol-M ICBM. Following the test launch, Putin warned that "we won’t stand for it [the unipolar dominance of the U.S.] and we will use all the levers at our disposal–diplomatic and military-political.... Today’s successful launch of the Topol-M intercontinental ballistic missile is one of them." (Bold added)

In one last warning on December 18th, General Vladimir Yakovlev announced that Russia would use nuclear weapons as a first strike option in any situation where it felt threatened, "Russia...is forced to lower the threshold for using nuclear weapons, extend the nuclear deterrent to smaller-scale conflicts and openly warn potential opponents about this." Although Putin had his finger on the nuclear button, he had offered a way out. How would the U.S. respond?

Meanwhile, China’s President Jaing was issuing strong daily warnings that China would take back Taiwan very soon, by military force, if necessary. He warned the U.S. to stay out of what China believed to be its internal affairs.

Stratfor Intelligence reported on December 16th that the Clinton Administration had thrown out an olive branch. The State Department quietly issued an ultimatum to Taiwan’s presidential candidates not to provoke China.

The perception that the West had capitulated was strengthened on January 25th when Georgian President Eduard Shevardnadze shocked everyone by nominating acting Russian President Vladimir Putin for chairman of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). Azerbaijani President Geidar Aliyev also supported Putin. There had been heavy speculation before the meeting that the former Soviet Republics of Georgia and Azerbaijan, both highly critical of Russia, might pull out of the CIS at this meeting. Instead, they suddenly made strong overtures to the Kremlin. Had Clinton told them not to expect further help from the U.S.?

Two days later, on January 27th, the BBC of Britain finally stated the obvious, "Russia expects to retain some authority not just over Chechnya, but also over independent republics like Georgia and Azerbaijan." The BBC went on to say that if this is the case, "Moscow can expect strong resistance from western governments."

European Commission President Romano Prodi may have dropped this bombshell February 10th when he warned Russia that "any attack or aggression against an EU member nation would be an attack or aggression against the whole EU, this is the highest guarantee." Stratfor Intelligence noted that "Prodi’s assurance of security to all EU members extends NATO guarantees to the countries that will be on the EU’s new eastern border. Suddenly,.... an economically powerful EU, backed by a militarily powerful NATO, would dig in along vast lengths of Russia’s eastern border."

The Prodi bombshell should have evoked an angry response from Russia. Yet, the only response was a very mild rebuke from First Deputy Chief of the General Staff, Valery Manilov the next day. In what can only be described as bizarre, less than a week later the February 16th edition of the BBC reported that Russia and NATO had resumed friendly relations. Foreign Minister Igor Ivanov said, "We see each other as important strategic partners which co-operate in the interests of security in the European continent and the entire world."

It appears Prodi’s pronouncement represents a secret agreement between the West and Russia. One which is now being rapidly implemented. It appears to be based on the Yeltsin-Jaing proclamation that Russia will be guaranteed total sovereignty over the remaining Soviet Republics and the EU will rule Central Europe. Ivanov’s statement strongly supports that conclusion. If this is the case, Georgia and Azerbaijan will soon join Russia willingly or by force and the West will do nothing to stop it.

The intent of Prodi’s statement has enormous implications to America. If there is no secret deal and Russia is seriously planning to attack Azerbaijan, she must first neutralize the U.S. The only effective way Russia could do this without launching WW-III is by initiating terrorist activity in Europe and the U.S. (perhaps even in its own cities) using weapons of mass destruction—blaming the terrorism on Osama bin Laden. Bin Laden has been reported to have these weapons. This horrifying scenario would throw the U.S. and Europe into chaos, allowing Russia to launch a surprise attack on Azerbaijan-Georgia.

There is some concern that the secret treaty hammered out during the Yeltsin-Jaing Summit in December includes coordinating attacks on Azerbaijan, Taiwan and South Korea by Russia, China and North Korea, respectively. Now that the Chechen war is all but over, Russia, China and North Korea are fully mobilized to launch these attacks at any time. The U.S. simply does not have the resources to fight a three front war.

Not only have the stakes suddenly escalated on the Russian front, but the U.S. Congress has finally decided to stand up to Clinton by poking a diplomatic finger into China’s eye. The House passed the Taiwan Security Enhancement Act by a vote of 341 to 70 on February 1st. The bill accelerates the arming of Taiwan and builds closer military links with that country. It also warns China against threatening Taiwan, saying it will have to answer to the United States.

China responded to the House action with strong warnings that if passed this Act would likely result in an immediate war with China. Siding with China, Clinton warned it would threaten U.S. security by destabilizing our relations with China. Again, Clinton seems to be accepting the Yeltsin-Jaing proposal. On February 16th the U.S. State Department dispatched a team to Japan and China to "discuss strategic issues." It is significant that self-proclaimed one-worlder Deputy Secretary of State Strobe Talbott is leading the delegation.

Although very few people realize it, the world is heading for massive geopolitical changes that will set the course of history from now on. Clinton and his globalist friends have managed to narrow the world’s options to two, global governance or nuclear war. Which would you choose? V mc