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    Volume 1, Issue 9, October,  1999

    Ballooning the Population

    © 1999 Discerning the Times Digest and NewsBytes

    Fertility Rate 1962 1993 1999
    Third World 6.1/woman 3.2/woman 3.0/woman
    First World 3.2 1.7 1.6

    The United Nations has estimated that October, 1999, will see the birth of the six billionth person. The population reached a billion people in 1800. The 2nd billionth person is 69 years old; the 3rd billionth is 39; the 4th is 24; and the 5th billionth soul is 12 years old. A cursory glance at these numbers can be alarming; three billion to six billion in less than four decades! While the United Nations (UN) and globalist community use these figures to scare the world into believing there is an overpopulation crisis, the facts suggest something quite different.

    Historically, national populations resembled a pyramid with a large, younger population providing support to the significantly smaller aging population. As growth rates stagnate, the pyramid becomes more like a box. Replacement rate for a stable population is generally understood to be 2.1 children per female, with the 0.1 required to make up for childless couples and the death of children.

    If fertility rates fall below what is needed for replacement, the box eventually becomes an inverted pyramid, leaving a very small number to populate the workforce that supports the economy which then supports a vast, aging population. This dilemma is already becoming a reality for some nations. Last spring, for example, for the first time in history Japan had more people over 65 than under 15.

    The actual global rate of growth has fallen from about 2.3% in the early 1960’s to 1.3 % today which is a decline of 44%. The average number of children per fertile woman has fallen from 5.5 to 2.7 during the same time period. In many developed nations, the fertility rate is drastically lower than the averages indicate. Bulgaria, Italy, the Czech Republic, Romania and Spain, for instance, have an average of only 1.2 births per woman. In the Russian Federation (where there are 7 abortions for every live birth), Germany, Estonia, Greece, Slovenia and Latvia, the average rate is 1.3. In 22 countries of Europe and North America, the rate averages 1.5.

    In the period from 1970-1975, 79 countries had high fertility rates of greater than six children per woman. Today, only 10 nations exhibit this rate of growth. In the face of concern over decline, some nations such as France are offering financial incentives to entice women to bear more children. Italy must import workers to staff their labor force because the declining population has left more jobs than people to fill them.

    In 1993, the UN proclaimed that population growth was experiencing a boom that would be beyond the planet’s ability to support it. The UN’s estimate at that time for a high fertility rate was that the population would reach nearly 20 billion by 2100 A.D. A mere 5 years later in 1998, the estimate using the same fertility ranking was reduced to between 12-13 billion. While a much more realistic, mid-range fertility rate predicts a population of around 9 billion in the year 2100. Many analysts believe it will be even less than that. It is likely that the fertility rate will drop below the replacement rate of 2.1

    The UN’s 1998 report, E/CN.9/1999/2 by the Commission on Population and Development, states that government must implement population policies and limit prosperity because the environment is threatened by a more numerous and prosperous people. And yet, according to this same report, it is precisely the advances achieved as a direct result of prosperity, such as education and lower child mortality rates, that account for lower fertility rates. Furthermore, it is only a prosperous people who have the resources to adequately protect the environment.

    Those who trumpet the incessant rhetoric that the planet is becoming over populated, consistently point to densely populated areas to prove the point. The truth is that these areas such as Africa, China and Latin America are relatively low in population density. The density in the Netherlands is triple that of China, and the UK has a population density 5 times that of Africa.

    Like every other crisis proclaimed by the UN and globalists, the population crisis does not exist. And, like most UN solutions to solve crises, government control of population growth will only exacerbate human misery and suffering. Rather than help the people of the world, it is designed to enslave them.

    The truth is that if the current trends in reproduction world wide prevail, approximately 7.7 billion souls will be living on planet Earth around the year 2035, then we will actually begin to see a decline. God’s Word tells us that the birth of every child is a gift, a treasure. If fertility rates continue to decline, we will see a world that mirrors the China of today where an entire generation has grown up with no siblings, no aunts, no uncles, no cousins, no nieces, no nephews....and, no freedom.

    "Lo, children are an heritage of the LORD: and the fruit of the womb is his reward. As arrows are in the hand of a mighty man; so are children of the youth. Happy is the man that hath his quiver full of them..." Psalm 127:3-5 (KJV) V mc