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"Thus saith the Lord GOD; Behold, I am against thee, O Gog, the chief prince of Meshech and Tubal: 4And I will turn thee back, and put hooks into thy jaws, and I will bring thee forth..." Ezekiel 38:3-4.


Geopolitical Consequences--Russia and China
© July, 2000 Discerning the Times Digest and NewsBytes
© January, 2001 Discerning the Times Digest and NewsBytes

During his acceptance speech on March 18, Taiwanese President-elect Chen Shui-bian said that while ''Constructive dialogue with China was vital," he also warned, "We should insist on Taiwan's independent sovereignty." China had previously said it would go to war if Taiwan sought independence. But will it? It may, and it will involve far more than just China and Taiwan. Surprisingly, it won’t be over the election of Chen. It will be because of global governance.

Perhaps American citizens and the dumbed down press don’t believe world government is just around the corner, but not so of China and Russia. They know and have been threatening the West for over a year. China and Russia knew the September 6, 2000 UN Millennium Summit would herald the public debut of global governance. If they are going to get a slice of the New World Order, China knows it must take back Taiwan and possess the mineral rich, strategically positioned Spratly Islands in the South China Sea. Russia knew it had to gain control once again of the oil-rich former southern republics of the old Soviet Union. Especially Azerbaijan and Georgia.

For years Russia has watched president Clinton and prime minister Tony Blair negotiate the construction of a new oil pipeline from the oil rich Azerbaijan on the Caspian Sea south of the Caucasus Mountains through Georgia, across the Black Sea, and through Bulgaria, Kosovo (surprise) and Albania to the Adriatic Sea where it would supply Europe. In the process, Russia’s existing oil pipeline that runs to the north of the Caucasus Mountains to the Black Sea would no longer be needed, denying Russia of half of its annual export revenues. Russia must secure this southern oil pipeline route this year or be faced with becoming a poor country cousin in the emerging world government.

During 1999 both China and Russia sharply escalated their attacks on U.S. hegemony and "unipolar" dominance of the world. They are demanding that the world be ruled through a "multipolar" sharing of power. The Kosovo bombing forced China and Russia to realize they must act soon. Taiwanese President Lee’s announcement of a two state policy last July conveniently provided China the excuse to react violently and mobilize its military for war. Simultaneously, growing evidence suggests that under the direction of then FSB Director Vladimir Putin, the Russian FSB (the old KGB) actually bombed the apartment buildings in Moscow, not Chechen rebels. In any event, the bombing provided the excuse for the Kremlin to invade Chechnya, put Vladimir Putin into power, and provided a smoke screen for Russia to fully mobilize its military without raising Western suspicions. During the same time, North Korea has fully mobilized its military along the DMZ.

By the end of last year Presidents Jaing Zemin and Boris Yeltsin met in Beijing specifically to develop a strategy to eliminate U.S. unipolar dominance of the world. During the December 9-10 Summit, a top secret "Military Cooperation Treaty" was negotiated that was finalized in early March this year. Jiang and Yeltsin also issued a joint statement on December 9 during the Summit. Although it went right over the heads of the press, Yeltsin and Jiang announced they would support a "rational and thoughtful reform of the UN" which "is conducive to strengthening its authority and role in the world." (Italics added) Such UN reforms would, they claimed, "create a fair, equal, and mutually beneficial international political and economic order." The offer was stunning. For the first time, China and Russia were offering to support world government. The offer was conditional, however. They demanded full equality with the U.S. and Europe and total sovereignty over Taiwan and Chechnya as well as other former Soviet Republics. These, they claimed were the "internal affairs" of China and Russia, respectively.

In December 1999 Russia and China were deadly serious. Their respective futures were at stake. When Clinton seemed to laugh off the offer, Yeltsin reminded Clinton that Russia was a nuclear force to be reckoned with. Clinton again ignored the warning and on December 13, Yeltsin put Russia’s nuclear missiles on "full alert". The next day Prime Minister Vladimir Putin fired a shot across America’s bow by conducting an unscheduled launch of Russia’s state-of-the-art Topol-M Intercontinental Ballistic Missile, announcing, "we won’t stand for it [the unipolar dominance of the U.S.] and we will use all the levers at our disposal–diplomatic and military-political.... Today’s successful launch of the Topol-M intercontinental ballistic missile is one of them." Two days later, Russia proclaimed it changed its military doctrine to permit use of terrorist activities such as drugs, cyber attacks and weapons of mass destruction (including nuclear and biological) to weaken a superior enemy (i.e. the U.S.). China had made the same announcement in October.

The threats worked. Clinton backed down. From January 25th to February 21st happy faces accompanied a flurry of diplomatic exchanges between Russia-China and the U.S.-Europe. Press conferences proclaimed there was hope to "strengthen international security and stability in the world." Or, the world was "realizing the idea of partnership, which calls for equal participation in the assessment of [European and global] crises, and in the drawing up of decisions and the joint realization of them."

Optimism evaporated on February 21st, however, after China had met with an envoy lead by one-worlder Strobe Talbott. China suddenly threatened nuclear war with America if the U.S. interfered with its reunification efforts with Taiwan. Existing top secret war plans were declassified to show China was in fact planning to nuke the U.S. if we interfered. Russia threatened war with Azerbaijan and Georgia. The rhetoric of war had reached stratospheric levels when Chen won the Taiwan presidential election.

Is war inevitable? Even with the devastation done by Clinton to the U.S. military, neither China, Russia or North Korea can take the U.S. head on, separately or together. Not yet anyway. The wildcard is the top secret treaty worked out by Jiang and Yeltsin last December and finalized in early March. Similar secret agreements have been worked out with North Korea. All three nations have fully mobilized their military in preparation for war. It seems likely the treaties and agreements commit China, Russia and North Korea to launching simultaneous attacks against Taiwan, Azerbaijan-Georgia and South Korea. The U.S. simply could not fight a three front war.

China and Russia could increase their probability of success by implementing their new military doctrines of preemptive terrorist attacks using cyber warfare and weapons of mass destruction on several U.S. and European cities. It could easily be blamed on terrorists like Osama bin Laden, who has already been reported to have these weapons. Russia has already demonstrated it could even use these weapons on its own cities, completing the deception. It would throw the U.S. and Europe into chaos and confusion making it unlikely Clinton would retaliate or even come to the aid of Taiwan and South Korea.

But, this kind of war now seems unlikely. After another flurry of diplomatic activity in early May, by mid-May, 2000, happy faces once again returned to Russian and Chinese diplomatic faces. Once again we heard language about international partnerships, joint efforts to maintain global security. China suddenly turned down its anti-Taiwan and anti-US rhetoric. When President Clinton was leaving Germany for Moscow on June 3, he made a very unusual statement to a German newspaper. When asked if Russian-US relations were going to improve, Clinton responded by saying Russia must be given a fair say in determining world economic and security frameworks. "If Russia shows weakness and insecurity within its own borders, then our own security is threatened," he told the German newspaper Welt am Sonntag, adding that Moscow needed to be better integrated into global institutional structures. "I am convinced the best way to achieve this goal is to enhance Russia's integration in the world economy and within rule-based political and defence structures." This statement strongly implies that Clinton and the West had capitulated on the demands by Russia and China to have sovereignty over their respective internal affairs, and that both nations would be included into the emerging "global institutional structures" of the coming world government. 

The threat of a terrorist attack on the U.S. is now vastly reduced. Putin has made a series of brilliant moves to bring Russia back under the control of the Kremlin, while pushing the West out of all of the former southern Soviet Republics including Azerbaijan and Georgia. Although the West never heard about it, while the world was focused on the sinking of the Russian submarine Kursk, Putin was meeting with the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). On August 18, 2000 the CIS issued a press statement stating that the mid-Asian republics, including Azerbaijan and Georgia were reuniting with Russia! "The Central Asian republics are joining with Moscow in a common power grid that will stretch from Europe far into Asia." In other words, the boundaries of the old Soviet Union were being recreated and the press totally ignored it!

While threats from Russia seems to be cooling, China, still needs the economic power of Taiwan. And while the rhetoric has cooled, China is still against a time deadline of securing control of Taiwan before the new world government is operational. The US position on Taiwan is still not clear, but there are some indications that the West may have ceded Taiwan in some way to China in the mid-May East-West deal. Especially ominous is an agreement made by Presidents Putin and Jiang in early July that the Russian Pacific Fleet would insert itself in the Taiwan Strait to protect China if the US Seventh Fleet attempts to protect Taiwan from Chinese aggression. 

If the US and the West has indeed ceded Taiwan to China in the mid-May East-West agreement, this strongly suggests China may still invade Taiwan and China and Russia are issuing a warning to the US to stay out of the fray. This threat now carries real teeth. Two Russian Sovremenny Class destroyers have been delivered to China that carry Moskit (Sunburn) cruise missiles that can penetrate the US's Aegis defense system surrounding the seventh fleet. For the first time our aircraft carrier battle groups are very vulnerable. Just how vulnerable was confirmed in November, 200 when a Russian SU 24 and SU27 penetrated the Kitty Hawk's defenses and buzzed the deck of the carrier at 200 feet three times before the carrier was able to launch its first interceptor. And, the Chinese now have over 300 short and intermediate range missiles along the Gulf of Taiwan ready to launch at Taiwan. 

In any event, Russia understands that it must control oil to control its destiny. Reliable sources report that recent military cooperation treaties with Iran, Iraq, and Syria are based on the premise that Russia will help the Arab states to obliterate Israel from the map. Once Russia consolidates its power in the Caspian Sea oil rich republics, it will most certainly have its eye on the Persian Gulf. Like a hook in its jaw, it will eventually be drawn to take these oil reserves as well under the guise of helping the Arabs eliminate Israel--just as prophesied in Ezekiel 38-38. By controlling the Caspian Sea-Persian Gulf oil reserves, it will control nearly 70 percent of the world's known commercially available oil.  

Will the election of President Bush make a difference? We will probably know sometime during the summer, 2001. However, if China is planning to attack China there will never be as good a time as right now--before Bush begins the long overdo process of rebuilding and modernizing our badly decaying military.

Dr. Coffman is CEO of Sovereignty International and President of Environmental Perspectives, Inc. This article is based on information in the November and February issues of Discerning the Times Digest, a special project of Sovereignty International.